this is a much weaker triumph than we have seen in recent years and naturally as a result it is a more wide open affair but the market should be pretty informative given that every useful horse comes from the same stable but i do think the market is currently mispriced mostly just because the market is kind of following the willie mullins jockey bookings right now.
willie sounded keen enough on majborough in a few interviews because he had picked up a training injury prior to his run in dublin and will have needed that run when third in a g1 on his seasonal reappearance and first run for the stable since coming over from france behind two horse who he runs against again here, with another few in here today just behind him. he travelled well enough on the front and mark walsh did not ask him to do too much until he had already been headed so it is easy to see why there is a lot of improvement expected from this lad and i would be surprised if he wasn't involved in the finish in some capacity. i'm a bit surprised he is not at the head of the market here.
storm heart has taken over as favourite and he went off favourite when second in that juvenile hurdle involving half the field in dublin. he had already had one impressive win going in to dublin and he had five flat runs in france so he was a fair bit more experienced than most of the field that day so i expect something to improve past him today. the only reason i can really see that he has been backed is because stable jockey paul townend rides him but that is more by default than actual choice. been noted previously that willie wanted danny mullins back on board kargese because how much he has learned about her riding in the last two runs and mark walsh auto rides the jp horse.
nurburgring had a lot of experience coming from the flat and has had two hurdles runs already so while i think experience is very useful here, i would be surprised if there wasn't something in here that was good enough to beat him because the two hurdles runs he has had were a step below what some of the less experienced horses have already shown and i would think they would be more likely to improve again so i am more than happy to pass him over at a tight enough price. he was running on nicely the last day behind kargese and wasn't beaten much at all and his action suggests the over night rain will be a benefit.
i'm taking the 8/1 each way four places on bunting because i strongly feel like he will have learned the most from the dublin race when he looked very juvenile and green throughout. his jumping was sketchy, and that is a concern, but he looks to have a real engine. he was just making a forward move at the second last, still hard on the bridle, but he made a mistake as the front few horses were quickening and he lost a few lengths which he very quickly made up with a little nudge from his jockey, was an impressive move and he was running on nicely under very little pressure up the straight but when he jumped the last, one of his better jumps of the race, he tried to hang inside and ran in to a wall of horses before switching back out and running on again better than anything in front when he was finally straightened up. he may well be fourth or even five choice based on jockey bookings but there is very little between these horse and i would be confident that he will be a lot better today than he was the last.
