2:10 arkle

what a shit heap. jumps racing truly is dead if this is the best we have to offer in 2m novice chases. 3.75 fav gaelic warrior would be twos on if he didn't blow up the last day. just bet it and hope he doesn't lose 30 lengths jumping right handed. none of these get close as far as ability is concerned. raced in tacky, sticky ground in dublin on the second day of the festival so it was hard work and he got beat by a high class stayer that they think is gold cup bound over an extended 2m5f, not much shame in that and wasn't the only very smart horse that struggling in those conditions. market has started to move so suggests well being is fine. fresh, soft ground on a course that hasn't been used yet, would expect a much better and he's very clearly the best horse here having ran all over the second in two starts back. just going to take a deep breath and fucking punt because the questions he has to answer aren't worth as much as the market is suggesting in my shitty opinion.

il etait temps is a decent enough horse but he's been pumped every time he's seen a decent race horse (excl marine national who ran no race in dublin). beaten soundly by gaelic warrior in limerick, beaten soundly twice by facile vega, beaten soundly three times by vauban and beaten soundly by marine nationale last year. how is this horse possibly good enough to win an arkle? a concerning lack of depth in national hunt racing, that's how. same can be said for found a fifty and quilixios who got thunder cunted over 2m three times by a three miler in teahupoo. horrible race this. 

hunters yarn showed enough last time to think he could run a race but that one run was a stone better than anything he's ever shown before and he's inexperienced over the larger obstacle having raced only twice, falling at the first attempt and almost fell second time up too. looks a much better chase than hurdler and he is the danger if anything but form of that win is nothing special or even approaching. ran arguably worst race of his career at cheltenham last year and both chases have been right handed. some form at navan over hurdles which is always handy. 

jpr one the only one with half a squeak from the english. travels well through his races and the yard like him plenty but the form is dire and he has to improve a good 10lb to go and win this.