3:45 ribblesdale

much like the first race i don't think this is very deep. the lingfield oaks trial contested by you got to me, danielle and rubies are red was a bit of a mess and it didn't appear to work out too well in the oaks with you got to me weakening in to fourth beaten a fair way while rubies are red was out the back the whole race. she may not have loved that track and could be more at home on this more traditional, galloping track but she has a lot to prove now. danielle reportedly didn't love lingfield that day either but she was fairly tame in the finish that day and needs to have improved a lot to trouble the front two.

this is going to end up being the second race of the day that i am fading the early drift. all of the money has been for kalpana but i'm not too keen on that horse. she was a 76 rated handicapper two months ago and now she's second fav in one of the premier group races for three year old fillies. her win in newmarket was exceptional but she beaten soundly and fairly by friendly soul the last day and while it was still a good, strong run and she shaped as if this extra two furlongs would suit, it showed up some limitations in her ability and just not at all convinced she is this star horse that the market is certain she is. 

diamond rain has the best form on offer when beating two, maybe three, very nice horses at newbury on quick ground the last day. labelled as good but the times a bit later in the card would suggest the ground was drying out all the time in the bright sunshine. she travelled like the best horse in that race and picked up when asked to win comfortably and being out of a 1m4f winner there is every chance she improves again for this step up in trip. she's a lovely big, strong filly that should continue to get better with every run so i find it quite tough to see her not involved in this race. but the market doesn't love it and i'm probably just wrong. but i'm not. she's good. the rest are not. maybe. 3.05 right now, will likely drift some more and if she does we simply bet it again.