Friday, 14 March 2025

county


there are some very strong irish horses running here with obvious claims but dan skelton is a sneaky little weasel and i have a strong suspicion that valgrand is a bit a plot here. the horse won by absolutely blasting from the front in novice hurdles before going off 5/6 in a g2 over 2m5f when he didn't get home and was beaten by a useful horse in potters charm. he dropped back to 2m and in to handicap company his next two starts where he has to carry 12-0 and 11-11 but for no reason whatsoever he's held up out the back when neither race was run at much of an early pace. given that he ran in a 3m ptp, has won over 2m3f and they thought he would stay 2m5f why is he sitting out the back off no pace over 2m when every other run at 2m he's gone off like a bullet? he cruised through the race at cheltenham two starts ago and never once did they try and put him in to the race or pick his whip up, he just let him canter up the hill without a care in the world. everyone around him is trying to chase this run away leader and he's still sat motionless while the race develops around him making up no ground in process. it's magical shithousing. he's dropped 6lb for those two runs, gets to carry a much lighter weight of 10-10 and there is a pretty significant chance that he's not going to be help up again. 12, 12.5 on exchange. 9/1 ew 5 places fine.