decent day. four winners, one faller at final flight when 1.04, three places in good handicaps. 

turners

think this is much weaker than it looks on paper. have been a fan of the horse since debut but more than happy to be against the new lion here at the prices. visually probably been the best young horse in training this season but there is nothing enthusiastic about the strength of his form and i am of the opinion that the challow he won, which has fallen apart since, was simply due to being the fastest horse on a flat track off a slow gallop on decent ground and he has a fair bit still to prove at this trip, on a track this stiff, coming off what will likely be a good pace. it's not to say that he can't but there are more than enough doubts about his profile to avoid taking a relatively short price here. 

have taken a bit of final demand at 2.66, think it's good to about 2.5, generally think he has a better profile for this sort of race and is likely to prove better over a bit further in the future, which is preferrable here. i'm not entirely convinced by the level of his form either, but that's the case for pretty much every runner in this race but he was extremely strong and impressive throughout when stepping up to g1 company and this race isn't deep enough to concern me that he won't improve beyond the fairly average level of form of the rest of these. it's not a big bet and it's more because i think this is a terrible race with only one horse having any real upside.

given the openness and general weakness i feel this race has, it's worth looking at the outsiders to potentially make their presence felt and the one that catches my eye the most is supersundae at 50/1 (65 exchange). a fine, big, scopey horse with a lovely big stride and i think they make more use of him here and let him go out try and force a bit of pace. he's been a bit keen being held up in slowly run races so the hood goes on as well. the most interesting thing to me, other than the potential change of tactics, is the support he has taken in graded races the last few starts. he was 8 lengths behind the yellow clay the last day but that one was much closer to the pace and got first run but supersundae made up nice ground and pulled away from the field without ever looking like getting to the winner. i don't think that winner is particularly strong either, just a benefit of circumstances on that day in dire conditions. supersundae pulled up the next day behind a dominant final demand but was reported to have been stiff post race, once again taking good money pre race. there is clearly some confidence this horse is better than he has shown and a change in tactics with a hood going on offers more hope for improvement at a big price than a lot of these can offer. danny mullins takes over from patrick mullins.