pertempts
three in here, big competitive field although i don't think many of the outsiders represent much of a threat except super survivor who i have bet in multiple ways including 33/1 1/5 1-5. he's not getting any younger but he's in the best form of his career as a nine year old and the way he won the last day would suggest there is still a few pound left in the tank. he's not exactly over raced for his age having had just 13 starts under rules, wasting seven of those as a not very accomplished chaser but he's been a revelation since returning to hurdles with the reapplication of cheek pieces, quickening up like a rising staying hurdles the last day. he's 40 something on the exchange, 33/1 ew 1-5 or 25/1 1-6, which ever you prefer i think all are good. would be by far my biggest return of the week so far.
the other two i'm betting are towards the head of the market. win some lose some almost certainly doesn't want the ground to be slow and there were some reports of tackiness over the first couple of days but we're racing on the new course today so the ground likely to be a bit fresher which gives some added hope that he will handle it. it certainly hasn't looked slow through two days. he quickened up very smartly to win the last day with a strong travelling feet of a dancer back in third but he was value for more than the winning margin, went up 10lb and gets another 3lb from the british handicapper but he's looked like a nice horse for some time and he relished the trip that day, should be plenty more improvement to come. around the 12 mark on the exchange, prefer to bet that than taking shorter ew prices given some doubts about ground. pray for the good variance.
lastly in a similar vein it is will the wise. raced only 18 days ago in a slog which may have taken something out of him but that's built in to the price, cantered through the race that day on his handicap debut and while he had a little trouble getting going to go and win the race once he did he showed a little burst of acceleration to put it away and was also value for more than the margin. he gets a slightly stiffer 11lb and he loses his 5lb claimer from that day making life a bit tougher. he was thought to be a graded horse early in the season but it didn't quite work out over shorter trips but he looked to have improved for 3m and i don't think a mark of 134 gets to the bottom of him now at a trip he enjoys. he's around 13 on the exchange or 11/1 ew with books, both good. personal preference there.